Projected starter totals from ESPN, refreshed Wednesday evening. Spread is the gap between the two projections, nothing more.
Highest total
Uriel · 0-2
Balrogs
123.1
at
Yael · 1-1
Potatoe
129.7
Yael favored by 6.6 · 252.8 combined
Uriel leans onBijan Robinson RB · 19.5 proj
Yael leans onJahmyr Gibbs RB · 25.3 proj
The highest-scoring game on the board at 252.8 combined, with Yael favored by 6.6. Jahmyr Gibbs (25.3) is the top projected starter in the entire league, and he is pointed at the commissioner, who is 0-2, tenth, and 6-16 against the field. Uriel has Drake Maye (18.6) at quarterback and, for once, nothing flagged in his lineup, which leaves him nobody to blame but the schedule.
Widest on the board
Oriol · 2-0
Firebreathing Platypuses
107.0
at
Jordi · 1-1
Windwaker
123.9
Jordi favored by 16.9 · 230.9 combined
Oriol leans onAmon-Ra St. Brown WR · 19.9 proj
Jordi leans onJalen Hurts QB · 19.8 proj
Watch list: J.K. Dobbins (questionable), Saquon Barkley (questionable), Nico Collins (questionable), Aaron Jones Sr. (questionable)
Oriol is 2-0, the second seed, and a 16.9-point underdog, the biggest line of the week, mostly because there is no defense in his lineup. He does not have one on the roster, so that slot is empty rather than badly filled. Jordi has troubles of his own, with three questionable starters in Saquon Barkley, Nico Collins and Aaron Jones Sr., and 30% of his lineup on Philadelphia at Chicago on Monday night, against Oriol's Swift and Odunze on the other side.
Game of the week
Tayler · 0-2
Terrible Towel, Mediocre Picks
116.7
at
Benji · 2-0
Suzaku
117.6
Benji favored by 0.9 · 234.3 combined
Tayler leans onDe'Von Achane RB · 19.4 proj
Benji leans onJosh Allen QB · 23.6 proj
Watch list: Travis Etienne Jr. (questionable), Mike Evans (questionable)
First seed against twelfth, and a 0.9 spread. Tayler has scored 148 in two weeks, exactly half of Benji's 296, and has still been handed the closest game in the league. Josh Allen (23.6) and Justin Herbert (17.3) start against each other in Buffalo, so a good afternoon for one quarterback is a slightly worse one for the other.
One stadium
Dan Robot · 1-1
Dan Robot
127.7
at
Toño · 1-1
Seitseman
122.1
Dan Robot favored by 5.6 · 249.8 combined
Dan Robot leans onChris Olave WR · 17.8 proj
Toño leans onLamar Jackson QB · 21.1 proj
Watch list: Jaylen Warren (questionable), Zay Flowers (questionable), DJ Moore (questionable)
The machine is favored by 5.6 at 127.7, having swapped Rashee Rice for DeVonta Smith, which is the kind of thing it does without being asked. Toño has 38.2% of his lineup in Baltimore against Dallas, Lamar Jackson, Zay Flowers and Brandon Aubrey, and Dan Robot has Javonte Williams (15) on the other sideline. The bot will not watch the game. It does not know there is one.
Same quarterback, again
Misa · 1-1
Obsidians
113.4
at
Mario · 1-1
Stairway to Seven
102.7
Misa favored by 10.7 · 216.1 combined
Misa leans onPatrick Mahomes QB · 19.6 proj
Mario leans onChristian McCaffrey RB · 20.9 proj
Watch list: Jayden Daniels (out)
The lowest combined total of the week at 216.1, and Mario's 102.7 is the lowest projection in the league for one reason: Jayden Daniels is out and still in the lineup. Brock Purdy, projected at 20.8, is on the bench, which is exactly where he was last week when he scored 28.5 and Daniels scored 14.7. Misa leads by 10.7.
Title defense
Joe · 2-0
Photofreak
116.7
at
Sam · 0-2
Mean Machine
114.5
Joe favored by 2.2 · 231.2 combined
Joe leans onJaxon Smith-Njigba WR · 20.8 proj
Sam leans onDerrick Henry RB · 17.8 proj
Watch list: Malik Nabers (questionable), Jalen Coker (questionable)
The defending champion is 0-2, the eleventh seed, and 2.2 behind a Joe who is 2-0. Sam has two questionable receivers in Malik Nabers and Jalen Coker. Joe has Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 20.8, who scored 42.5 the last time anybody checked.
Game of the week
First against last
Benji has lost three of twenty-two all-play games. Tayler has not won one yet. The projections do not care about either number, and on Wednesday this is the closest matchup in the league.
0.9the spread, the tightest on the board
19-3Benji against the field, first seed
0-22Tayler against the field, twelfth seed
23.6Josh Allen, the top projected quarterback of the week, facing Tayler's Justin Herbert
Anyone can win one week, which is the whole reason the league has fourteen of them.
Three managers whose Sunday depends on something other than their opponent.
Record and all-play combined, weighted 40/60. All-play is your record against every team each week, not just the one you were scheduled against - it is what your season looks like with the schedule taken out.